The latest YouGov polling on Westminster voting intentions in Scotland is revealing.
The results are:
SNP — 42%
Labour — 27%
Conservatives — 17%
Liberal Democrats — 5%
Greens — 4%
UKIP — 4%
The sample size is small, 290 unweighted, 176 weighted so we should take the results with a pinch of salt, but run through our Westminster seat predictor they offer some extraordinary results.
If this was replicated in May then the Scottish contingent in the House of Commons would look like this:
SNP — 43
Labour — 12
Liberal Democrats — 2
Conservatives — 2
It would also mean the following seats would change hands:
| Seat | Currently held | Prediction | Current MP |
| Aberdeen North | Labour | SNP | Frank Doran |
| Aberdeen South | Labour | SNP | Dame Anne Begg |
| Aberdeenshire West | Liberal Democrat | SNP | Sir Robert Smith |
| Airdrie and Shotts | Labour | SNP | Pamela Nash |
| Argyll and Bute | Liberal Democrat | SNP | Alan Reid |
| Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock | Labour | SNP | Sandra Osborne |
| Ayrshire North and Arran | Labour | SNP | Katy Clark |
| Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | Liberal Democrat | Conservative | Mike Moore |
| Caithness and Sutherland | Liberal Democrat | SNP | John Thurso |
| Cumbernauld and Kilsyth | Labour | SNP | Gregg McClymont |
| Dumfries and Galloway | Labour | SNP | Russell Brown |
| Dundee West | Labour | SNP | Jim McGovern |
| Dunfermline and West Fife | Labour | SNP | Thomas Docherty |
| East Dunbartonshire | Liberal Democrat | SNP | Jo Swinson |
| East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow | Labour | SNP | Michael McCann |
| East Lothian | Labour | SNP | Fiona O’Donnell |
| Edinburgh East | Labour | SNP | Shelia Gilmore |
| Edinburgh North and Leith | Labour | SNP | Mark Lazarowicz |
| Edinburgh South | Labour | SNP | Ian Murray |
| Edinburgh South West | Labour | SNP | Alistair Darling |
| Edinburgh West | Liberal Democrat | SNP | Mike Crockart |
| Falkirk | Independent | SNP | Eric Joyce |
| Fife North East | Liberal Democrat | SNP | Menzies Campbell |
| Glasgow Central | Labour | SNP | Anas Sarwar |
| Glasgow East | Labour | SNP | Margaret Curran |
| Glasgow North | Labour | SNP | Ann McKechin |
| Glasgow South | Labour | SNP | Tom Harris |
| Gordon | Liberal Democrat | SNP | Sir Malcolm Bruce |
| Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey | Liberal Democrat | SNP | Danny Alexander |
| Kilmarnock and Louden | Labour | SNP | Cathy Jamieson |
| Lanark and Hamilton East | Labour | SNP | Jimmy Hood |
| Linlithgow and East Falkirk | Labour | SNP | Michael Connarty |
| Livingston | Labour | SNP | Graeme Morrice |
| Midlothian | Labour | SNP | David Hamilton |
| Ochil and South Perthshire | Labour | SNP | Gordon Banks |
| Paisley and Renfrewshire | Labour | SNP | Douglas Alexander |
| Stirling | Labour | SNP | Anne McGuire |
As mentioned above, these results should be caveated given the small sample size.
Input your own predictions for May 2015: http://www.scotlandvotes.com/westminster