We’ve had two polls published this week.
The first, by TNS-BRMB showed no change in support for both sides.
The second, was the latest monthly joint poll between Survation, Daily Record and Better Nation.
It certainly provoked some interesting headlines. It has the Yes campaign on 39% (+2 compared with last month), No on 44% (-3) and Don’t Knows on 17%.
This is the first poll in a while which has shown any sort of movement (in at least a month), so that in itself is newsworthy. As you can see in the graphic, this puts Yes back to where they were in March, but the key difference is the narrowing of the gap between the two sides.
What has also given Yes a spring in their step is that once the Don’t Knows are removed, Yes finds itself on 47% (the highest point for a Yes vote in a Survation poll). This means they are a three point swing away from victory.
Interestingly, the poll was conducted after the interventions from both the UK Government (the infamous Lego Buzzfeed article) and US President Barack Obama. This may cause concern within the No camp.
Yes will also take heart from another headline grabbing section of the poll. Voters were asked how they would vote ‘if they were certain David Cameron was going to remain Prime Minister after the Westminster General Election in 2015’. The answers saw that 44% would vote Yes and 38% No. Therefore, the performances on the UK parties are now intrinsically linked to the outcome of the Independence Referendum.
