We had two polls published over the weekend, a Survation poll on Friday and Sunday saw the latest ICM polling published in the Scotland on Sunday.
The details for the Survation poll are:
Yes — 41% (+2)
No — 46% (+2)
Don’t Know — 13% (-4)
The Yes campaign will be heartened by a two point gain, taking them to 41% per cent in the polls, their highest ever point in Survation polling. However, they will be concerned that they haven’t made any inroads on the Better Together lead, who also picked up two more points. The independentistas might be heartened by the fact that the gap remains so close, but with just two months to go that gap is looking difficult to close.
The biggest change in the Survation poll is the decline in undecideds. It appears many are now making their mind up, continuing a trend we saw in the last TNS-BRMB poll.
Survation in their poll also covered Holyrood voting intentions, which are covered by James Mackenzie from Better Nation here.
What will be causing more joy in the Better Together HQ is the results of the ICM poll, published Sunday.
Yes — 34% (-2)
No — 45% (+2)
Don’t Know — 21% (-)
These results put the sides back almost exactly to where they were two months ago. Interestingly, this month saw no change in the number of undecided voters.
So far in 2014 we’ve had 35 polls on Scottish independence and not one has the Yes campaign winning. Despite the SNP’s propensity for delivering great short campaigns, the forecast was a Yes victory is beginning to look doubtful.